Showing posts with label M.K. Bhadrakumar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label M.K. Bhadrakumar. Show all posts

Monday, July 2, 2012

India and the Central Asian dawn, Current affairs, NewAgeIslam.com

Current affairs
India and the Central Asian dawn
By M.K. Bhadrakumar
Dec 31, 2009

The politics of the vast deserts and steppes of Central Asia will significantly determine the contours of any durable Afghan settlement. The implications for South Asia’s security will be far-reaching, too.

Ibn Battuta, the 14th-century traveller, described the Hindu Kush ranges as the “slayer of the Indians,” as people from the “land of India” mostly perished in the snowy heights of extreme cold. The ranges that run through Afghanistan did indeed split the Indian historical consciousness about that country.

When policymakers in New Delhi grappled with the Mujahideen takeover in Afghanistan, it suddenly dawned on them how little they knew about the tribes that inhabited the northern side of the Hindu Kush. It was those tribes who won the tight race for Kabul against the Pashtun Mujahideen groups during the dramatic “transfer of power” in 1992 by the communist regime headed by Najibullah, and New Delhi had on its hands the unenviable “post-Soviet” task of establishing a narrative suitable for a new dawn in the region’s ancient history.

The point is, the geopolitics of Afghanistan always had two halves. Which, of course, posed a major challenge to U.S. President Barack Obama when he crafted the new Afghan strategy. Equally, for regional powers like India or Uzbekistan, the dichotomy came in the way of creating a common space that would open the vistas of a regional initiative. Viewed from Delhi and Tashkent, the “great game” in the Hindu Kush mountains assumed different shades. Some things do not easily change in life — even for an aspiring regional power. Even today, Indian discourses on Afghanistan run a predictable course. Has the U.S. administration finally woken up to the harsh reality of the Pakistani military’s doublespeak in the fight against terrorism? If so, will it turn the screw on its single most crucial partner in the fight? Period.

http://newageislam.com/india-and-the-central-asian-dawn/current-affairs/d/2325


Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Iran: Not a simple struggle between conservatives and reformists, The War within Islam, NewAgeIslam.com

The War within Islam
Iran: Not a simple struggle between conservatives and reformists

By M.K. Bhadrakumar

June 21 2009

The political class in Washington is clueless about the Byzantine world of Iranian clergy.

China has broken silence on the developing situation in Iran. This comes against the backdrop of a discernible shift in the Barack Obama administration’s posturing toward political developments in Iran. The government-owned China Daily featured its main editorial comment on Thursday titled “For Peace in Iran.” It comes amidst reports in the western media that the former President, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, is rallying the Qom clergy to put pressure on the Guardian Council — and, in turn, on Spiritual Leader Ali Khamenei — to annul last Friday’s electoral verdict.

Beijing fears a confrontation looming ahead and counsels Mr. Obama to keep the pledge in his Cairo speech not to repeat such appalling errors in the U.S.’s Middle East policy as the overthrow of the elected government of Mohammed Mosaddeq in Iran in 1953. Beijing also warns about letting the genie of popular unrest get out of the bottle in a highly volatile region that is waiting to explode. Meanwhile, China’s special envoy on Middle East Wu Sike set out on an extensive fortnight-long regional tour on Saturday (which, significantly, will be rounded off with consultations in Moscow) to fathom the political temperature in capitals as varied as Cairo and Tel Aviv, Amman and Damascus, and Beirut and Ramallah.

http://newageislam.com/iran--not-a-simple-struggle-between-conservatives-and-reformists--/the-war-within-islam/d/1491


Monday, June 25, 2012

The New Big game in South-Central Asia, War on Terror, NewAgeIslam.com

War on Terror
The New Big game in South-Central Asia
India must energise regional diplomacy
M.K. Bhadrakumar

India should recapture the verve in its relationship with Iran and Russia, and change its outlook on the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.

The trilateral consultations among the United States, Pakistan and Afghanistan, held in Washington on May 7-8, offer a rare moment of truth about regional security and stability. In hosting the event, the U.S. had three main objectives: to get Kabul and Islamabad to work together closely; to reiterate the Obama administration’s commitment that it would not “cut and run” from the war in Afghanistan, which is otherwise far from generating optimism; and to launch the trilateral consultations format as part of the U.S.’ new Afghan strategy.

The U.S. spokesman portrayed the talks, involving top diplomats and military and intelligence officials, as “very constructive” and “very substantive.” The concrete decisions taken at the conclave include continuance of the cross-border (Pashtun) Jirga process involving the governments and civil societies, opening of two Border Coordination Centres in Kandahar and FATA, the launch of a Regional Infrastructure and Trade Development Initiative and the scheduling of the next trilateral consultations “for this fall.” Equally, the statement of intention to pursue within this year the finalisation of a new Afghan-Pakistan transit trade treaty to replace the 1965 agreement and, secondly, to pursue a (Afghan-Pakistan) Joint Action Plan “outlining areas of common concern on issues of counter-terrorism, counter-narcotics, law enforcement, border security and management, and rule of law and to look for ways to increase cooperation” merits attention for its long-term strategic implications (emphasis added).

http://newageislam.com/the-new-big-game-in-south-central-asia---/war-on-terror/d/1404


Will Obama’s New Middle East diplomacy represent a fundamental wind of change?, Islam and the West, NewAgeIslam.com

Islam and the West
Will Obama’s New Middle East diplomacy represent a fundamental wind of change?
By M.K. Bhadrakumar
26 May 2009

Taboos do not come single. Barack Obama must break other inter-related, equally formidable taboos — Syria, Hamas, Hezbollah. Indeed, it will be fascinating to watch him approach the mother of all taboos — Islamism.

Two hot, dry desert winds — khamsini and simoom — slice through the Middle East from the Levant to the Arabian Peninsula at this time of the year. The great winds appear as a blood-stint in the distant sky, and a blindly suffocating wall of dust materializes from nowhere. It is anybody’s guess whether the storm will ransack the heaving, strikingly reddish dunes for days, or pass by. It depends. It could be the khamsini(meaning 50 days in Arabic) or the simoom (poison wind). Simoom leaves as stealthily as it comes, seldom lasting more than 15 minutes – though it could make you feel that the end of the world has come.

The Middle East is agonising. Does U.S. President Barack Obama’s New Middle East diplomacy represent a wind of change as fundamental to the contours of the sand dunes as the khamsini or will turn out to be a burst of simoom? The answer increasingly is that change may be on the horizon. Doubting Thomases have lapsed into silence. A calm still envelops the region, which abounds in chimera.

All eyes were on an intense 90-minute first meeting between Mr. Obama and the newly elected hard-line Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, in Washington last Monday. None could be sure what would come of it. The speculation was that the two administrations, increasingly out of step with each other, might be heading for a confrontation. Several contentious issues have cropped up. Mr. Obama seems to visualise Israel entering into peace talks with the Arabs on the basis of “land-for-peace deals” in the West Bank and other occupied lands. For sure, Mr. Obama defines the “two-state” solution as the key to solving the Palestinian problem. Again, the Obama administration has been harping on a freeze on the construction of a new settlement housing by Israel. Finally, Washington and Israel have been manifestly differing in their approaches to the situation around Iran.

http://newageislam.com/will-obamas-new-middle-east-diplomacy-represent-a-fundamental-wind-of-change?--/islam-and-the-west/d/1428